Tag Archive for: Severe WX

Update on Severe Weather Expectations Today

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SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE TODAY!!!  See below for an extended write up!

Hello-

If you checked in several days back, I had been talking about some severe weather possibilities for this weekend.  Here we are on the day this event is supposed to happen.

Just last evening, the SPC had put out a 10% probability of Tornadoes in IA & E NE, and 5% for Southern MN.  That refers to the odds of tornadoes in the vicinity of any given point based on mileage.  Anyways–that number has since been reduced again today.

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Labor Day weekend Severe Weather?

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Potential Severe Weather this weekend!

Thanks for checking in!

The title isn’t meant to scare you, but we do have the possibility of some Severe Weather this weekend in the Upper Midwest & Minnesota–particularly on Sunday. It still is a bit of a ways out, but it is worth watching. The interesting thing to note is that this potential event has come up on the day 4-8 Outlook from SPC (Storm Prediction Center)–for both Day 5 and Day 4. The next day or so should provide more clarity on the situation. The wording of Supercells and Tornadoes has come up, and it surely has generated a bit of buzz.

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Two storm chances next week–changes likely in forecast!!

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Hello-

The models have been hinting at two large storms next week–or, what we are really seeing is the likelihood of one large storm in multiple waves, split up like two separate storms.   These are generally impulses that spin up off of the main low pressure center—so we usually see multiple waves.  This is fairly common of large storms of this nature.

The ECMWF runs yesterday were pulling the brunt of the storm over MN near Halloween, with a preliminary part of the storm on Tuesday.  Now, the normally reliable ECMWF seems to pull it further away on Halloween and after.

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